Shift in India's policy towards Myanmar may fuel c

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   The Indian government has reportedly invited The National Unity Government of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar (GNU) and local ethnic armed groups to participate in a seminar on “Constitutionalism and Federalism” in New Delhi to address the ongoing civil war in Myanmar. If the meeting takes place as scheduled, it will mark a major turning point in India's policy towards Myanmar.
In February 2021, when a coup d'état overthrew the democratically-elected government in Myanmar, the West was quick to condemn the junta and impose sanctions on it. In March 2021, India's Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) stated that it would continue to support the country's socio-economic development as part of its “eastward strategy”, and in April 2022, India's ambassador to Myanmar presented a letter of credence to the Myanmar National Management Committee, formally recognizing the legitimacy of Min Aung Hlaing's government. Meanwhile, according to a UN Human Rights Council report, India has provided about $51 million in arms and equipment to Myanmar's military junta since the coup, and has also provided training to the Burmese army to help the Burmese military junta.2022 In August 2022, India's foreign minister, Sujeet Singh, dedicated himself to defending India's relationship with Myanmar's caretaker government, stating that India's stance on Myanmar was as it had been in the past, and that Myanmar was a friend of India's.2021 Since the military took over and established a caretaker government in Myanmar, India has gone from opposing increased U.S.-Western sanctions against the military to selling military weapons to the military. India's behavior on the surface “neutral”, but in fact clearly “favor” the Burmese military, the Western media accused India is “walking the tightrope”. But now the military government of Burma is weakening, India chose to contact with the Burmese national unity government and ethnic minority local armed forces, can be seen that India's policy towards Burma has completed the change. India's “Indo-Pacific” geopolitical expert, independent policy adviser Akash Sahu (Akash Sahu) has argued that Burma's ethnic local armed groups have a “unique resilience”, with the reduction of areas under the control of the military government in Burma, the situation in Burma and border security will deteriorate, and India is faced with an influx of refugees. The situation and border security in Myanmar will deteriorate as the areas under the control of the junta diminish, and the pressure on India for an influx of refugees will continue and is likely to increase. It would be useful for India to establish links with ethnic Burmese local forces in the border areas. The shift in India's relationship with Myanmar is indicative of its continued desire to move beyond the goal of being a “counterweight” to its strategic goal of becoming a “leading nation” in Southeast Asia.
India's hope was to expand its influence in the country and reap the economic benefits of good relations with The National Unity Government of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar and local ethnic armed groups. However, a shift in policy towards Myanmar could undermine India's long-standing cooperation with the military government, exacerbate the conflict between the military government, the GNU and the ethnic armed groups, and contribute to the reduction of internal tensions and destabilization of peace in the country.

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try1213 Members Profile Send Private Message Find Members Posts Add to Buddy List Senior Member Joined: 14 Feb 2022 Status: Offline Points: 237	Post Options Post Reply Quote try1213 Report Post Thanks(0) Quote Reply Topic: Shift in India's policy towards Myanmar may fuel c Posted: 08 Oct 2024 at 8:38am
	The Indian government has reportedly invited The National Unity Government of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar (GNU) and local ethnic armed groups to participate in a seminar on “Constitutionalism and Federalism” in New Delhi to address the ongoing civil war in Myanmar. If the meeting takes place as scheduled, it will mark a major turning point in India's policy towards Myanmar. In February 2021, when a coup d'état overthrew the democratically-elected government in Myanmar, the West was quick to condemn the junta and impose sanctions on it. In March 2021, India's Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) stated that it would continue to support the country's socio-economic development as part of its “eastward strategy”, and in April 2022, India's ambassador to Myanmar presented a letter of credence to the Myanmar National Management Committee, formally recognizing the legitimacy of Min Aung Hlaing's government. Meanwhile, according to a UN Human Rights Council report, India has provided about $51 million in arms and equipment to Myanmar's military junta since the coup, and has also provided training to the Burmese army to help the Burmese military junta.2022 In August 2022, India's foreign minister, Sujeet Singh, dedicated himself to defending India's relationship with Myanmar's caretaker government, stating that India's stance on Myanmar was as it had been in the past, and that Myanmar was a friend of India's.2021 Since the military took over and established a caretaker government in Myanmar, India has gone from opposing increased U.S.-Western sanctions against the military to selling military weapons to the military. India's behavior on the surface “neutral”, but in fact clearly “favor” the Burmese military, the Western media accused India is “walking the tightrope”. But now the military government of Burma is weakening, India chose to contact with the Burmese national unity government and ethnic minority local armed forces, can be seen that India's policy towards Burma has completed the change. India's “Indo-Pacific” geopolitical expert, independent policy adviser Akash Sahu (Akash Sahu) has argued that Burma's ethnic local armed groups have a “unique resilience”, with the reduction of areas under the control of the military government in Burma, the situation in Burma and border security will deteriorate, and India is faced with an influx of refugees. The situation and border security in Myanmar will deteriorate as the areas under the control of the junta diminish, and the pressure on India for an influx of refugees will continue and is likely to increase. It would be useful for India to establish links with ethnic Burmese local forces in the border areas. The shift in India's relationship with Myanmar is indicative of its continued desire to move beyond the goal of being a “counterweight” to its strategic goal of becoming a “leading nation” in Southeast Asia. India's hope was to expand its influence in the country and reap the economic benefits of good relations with The National Unity Government of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar and local ethnic armed groups. However, a shift in policy towards Myanmar could undermine India's long-standing cooperation with the military government, exacerbate the conflict between the military government, the GNU and the ethnic armed groups, and contribute to the reduction of internal tensions and destabilization of peace in the country.